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Email Boom

By skim123 in MLP
Thu Oct 12, 2000 at 12:07:34 AM EST
Tags: Internet (all tags)
Internet

Being Internet-savvy computer folk, we all know that there is a ton of email shooting through the Net each and every day. A recent study predicts that, by 2005, 35 BILLION email messages will be sent PER DAY! Dat's a lot of email! I wonder how much of it will be spam... 34 billion pieces?


Also interesting to note... the same study reported that, by the end of this year, the Web browser will become the primary way people read/receive email (as opposed to the standard email client program like elm, Outlook, Eudora, etc.).

Here are some neat stats quoted in the article, for those not interested in clicking on a hyperlink:

  • The number of e-mail mailboxes is expected to jump to 983 million by 2005 worldwide (my math says that the average person will send ~35 email per day, then, assuming they send email regularly? Does that seem high or low or just about right?)
  • The percentage of e-mail mailboxes in North America is expected to fall under 50 percent of mailboxes worldwide in 2004

Neat stuff... Personally, I find it all absolutely amazing. I was at a conference recently (granted, it was a technology-related conference...), but at Session breaks, folks would rush to the rows of computers, and there everyone would check/send email... Goto a library or college, you'll see the same thing.

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Poll
How many emails per day do you send?
o 0 8%
o 1 20%
o 5 32%
o 10 19%
o 50 11%
o 100 2%
o 200 1%
o I am an email spammer! 4%

Votes: 109
Results | Other Polls

Related Links
o 35 BILLION email messages
o Also by skim123


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Email Boom | 19 comments (17 topical, 2 editorial, 0 hidden)
35 emails per day? (2.60 / 5) (#1)
by boxed on Wed Oct 11, 2000 at 07:11:35 PM EST

Wtf? The average person can't possibly send 35 emails per day, that's just absurd! Hmm.. or do people actually use email as instant messaging?

Re: 35 emails per day? (2.66 / 3) (#2)
by skim123 on Wed Oct 11, 2000 at 07:15:14 PM EST

The average person can't possibly send 35 emails per day, that's just absurd! Hmm.. or do people actually use email as instant messaging?

I kind of agree with this... of course I send tons a day, and while I am not the average person, people such as me lower what the average person needs to send per day to keep the average at 35.

Money is in some respects like fire; it is a very excellent servant but a terrible master.
PT Barnum


[ Parent ]
Re: 35 emails per day? (3.00 / 2) (#3)
by DeadBaby on Wed Oct 11, 2000 at 07:36:47 PM EST

Hmm... I don't know... I send about 30 messages a day. If I wasn't actively involved in mailing lists this number would be lower but there are times I send 50 messages out at least per day.

My parents normally send 5-10 per day and they're barely able to type so... I think the number is right on.
"Our planet is a lonely speck in the great enveloping cosmic dark. In our obscurity -- in all this vastness -- there is no hint that help will come from elsewhere to save us from ourselves. It is up to us." - Carl Sagan
[ Parent ]
Re: 35 emails per day? (3.00 / 2) (#6)
by greylensman on Wed Oct 11, 2000 at 07:51:35 PM EST

It's actually pretty easy to send over 35 emails in a day. I just sent out 10, all of them work related. I also get a fair amount of email from friends during the day. I would say that a fair estimate of my email use is about 50-100 messages a day of combined work/personal. And yes, some of us do use email for instant messenging because messenging clients are rendered nonfunctional by the corporate firewall.

[ Parent ]
Re: 35 emails per day? (3.00 / 1) (#7)
by Malk-a-mite on Wed Oct 11, 2000 at 08:51:38 PM EST

It's a average - some people I know spend all day doing e-mail. Others have weeks go between emails.

But since it's an average does it count when I send a letter to a mail list, and it sends it to 100+ people... did I just send 100+ e-mails?

Unfortunatly there's not enough info in the news blurb to tell.

Malk-a-mite

[ Parent ]

35 emails a day possible (3.25 / 4) (#8)
by metalgeek on Wed Oct 11, 2000 at 09:16:57 PM EST

rember that these emails may be duplicates (mailing lists, etc.) if a mailing list has 100 members, and sends ten emails a day, thats a total of 1000 messages. it's not that hard to hit an average of 35....
metalgeek

"K5 is a site where users have the motto 'Anyone Who Isn't Me Is An Idiot, And Anyone Who Disagrees With Me Is Gay'." skyknight
I hate billions (2.87 / 8) (#9)
by /ASCII on Wed Oct 11, 2000 at 09:20:38 PM EST

Your american billions are so small. A mere 10^9! Useless. In europe, we have REAL billions. 10^12, thats my kind of billion. Now, with 35 european billion emails per day, that would make for about 35 000 emails per day. Ah, the spamfilters that would be deployed. Imagine a world where spammers try to get through all filters, they would have to say "void of any funding" instead of "free". Wonder what they would say instead of "porn"?


"The time has come", the Walrus said, "To talk of many things: Of shoes and ships and sealing wax, of cabbages and kings."

Re: I hate billions (3.00 / 2) (#11)
by JB on Wed Oct 11, 2000 at 10:19:31 PM EST

Buckminster Fuller pointed out that the current number system could be made more rational and consistent by renaming thousand to illion and renaming a few of the other numbers. But you Europeans made a mistake when you confused the "." and the "," - when in Iceland, I made 100 thousand Krona per month - 100.000,00. I think the confusion of the , and . is why my salary didn't go very far.

already the filter feeders have developed some ways of getting spam past any ai sentinels:
p o r n p_o_r_n Pr0n p*rn



[ Parent ]
Re: I hate billions (none / 0) (#17)
by /ASCII on Thu Oct 12, 2000 at 11:23:03 AM EST

While I agree that it is distracting that . and , switch meaning when you cross the atlantic, I don't see why it is us europeans who are confused. (Not speaking for myself. I am always confused. )

Should be easy to do a regexp to catch most of the alternatives you mention, something like "p.?[o*].?r,?n.?|p.?r.?[0o].?n.?", I guess it will evolve like that until the spamfilters actually don't let ANY mail through. Then maybe we can finally get som work done!


"The time has come", the Walrus said, "To talk of many things: Of shoes and ships and sealing wax, of cabbages and kings."
[ Parent ]

The most annoying semantic division... (2.00 / 2) (#14)
by Perianwyr on Thu Oct 12, 2000 at 02:00:43 AM EST

<i>Imagine a world where spammers try to get through all filters, they would have to say "void of any funding" instead of "free". Wonder what they would say instead of "porn"?</i>

Damn it all, why can't we English speakers have a word division between "gratis" and "libre" that is generally understood.

"Free" has already been taken over by the market. I generally use "liberated" to speak of something that is not free as in beer, but that doesn't have the same connotations or simplicity as "free" to most people.

*sigh*


[ Parent ]
Re: The most annoying semantic division... (none / 0) (#18)
by dchinyee on Thu Oct 12, 2000 at 02:22:57 PM EST

> Damn it all, why can't we English speakers have a word division
> between "gratis" and "libre" that is generally understood.

You just said it: "gratis" and "libre". The origin of many "english" words is in foreign languages. If enough people use it, gratis and libre will eventually be adopted by english speakers and begin appearing in fine dictionaries everywhere.

It starts with the speakers, not the scholars.

Daniel

[ Parent ]

Re: I hate billions (1.25 / 4) (#15)
by odaiwai on Thu Oct 12, 2000 at 02:28:17 AM EST

Actually, it's only really anally-retentive britons who insist that a billion is 10^12. They're also usually the type to start flaming over the use of American spellings.

dave
-- "They're chefs! Chefs with chainsaws!"
[ Parent ]
Re: I hate billions (2.50 / 2) (#16)
by /ASCII on Thu Oct 12, 2000 at 08:40:28 AM EST

No
I'm swedish/polish and we use REAL billions. As do norwegians and danes. I can't be 100% sure about the rest of europe, but I think it's the americans who stand alone in this war.
"The time has come", the Walrus said, "To talk of many things: Of shoes and ships and sealing wax, of cabbages and kings."
[ Parent ]
Re: I hate billions (none / 0) (#19)
by Nickus on Thu Oct 12, 2000 at 02:32:28 PM EST

Americans does like the concept of NIH (Not Invented Here). If it weren't for the americans we would have a lot more of world standards. Just remember why that mars orbiter got lost...

Due to budget cuts, light at end of tunnel will be out. --Unknown
[ Parent ]
Web browser email?! (3.25 / 4) (#10)
by joeyo on Wed Oct 11, 2000 at 09:52:59 PM EST

Also interesting to note... the same study reported that, by the end of this year, the Web browser will become the primary way people read/receive email (as opposed to the standard email client program like elm, Outlook, Eudora, etc.)

At first glance I thought that statement implied that people were using Netscape Messenger! Ye Gods! :) But I suppose they were talking about some sort of web based email a la hotmail. And I guess that makes some sense.

Not for me though. I'm still gonna get all my mail from the shell. Oh, for universal SSH access...


--
"Give me enough variables to work with, and I can probably do away with the notion of human free will." -- demi

Re: Web browser email?! (3.00 / 3) (#12)
by djkimmel on Wed Oct 11, 2000 at 11:57:46 PM EST

The idea of accessing all my email through a web browser scares me. Even with high speed access wherever I am (cable at home, T1+ at work), I have "sessions" at sites have problems regularly. The firewall at work is notorious for dying - at least once a month I get a support call for a problem that was directly caused by that firewall. I wish I actually had control over the firewall so that I could try to fix it. :-/

My personal preference, like yours, is to use a shell for all of my email.

There is one product, and this is my main reason for replying, that will let you have the best of both worlds. Mindterm is an SSH client written in Java that can be run either as a standalone app or as an applet. This has all the advantages of SSH in that it can gracefully handle a network disconnection of some kind and is secure, and all the advantages of a web-based system in that you can get at it from anywhere.

-- Dave
-- Dave
[ Parent ]

Email bloom, algal bloom (2.66 / 3) (#13)
by cme on Thu Oct 12, 2000 at 12:53:21 AM EST

When I saw the title of this submission, the free-association part of my brain immediately said "algal bloom". On thinking about it a little more, it became obvious that this was a more apt comparison than I realized... but first, some background:

Algae grows in water with relatively high amounts of dissolved nutrients (phosphates and nitrates). As it grows, it uses oxygen, since it's a single-celled plant. An algal bloom occurs when a sudden large source of waterborne nutrients enters the ecosystem (like raw sewage). When this happens, the growth of the algae takes off- and since it's single-celled, it grows faster than anything else in the habitat. This means that it uses up all of the available oxygen and suffocates the fish and plants.... For this reason, it's the bane of aquarium keepers, water treatment plant workers, and ecologists everywhere. There are regulations on the amount of nutrients that may be present in otherwise clean water that is released from a sewage treatment plant expressly for preventing algal blooms which can sterilize a river.

I'm not old enough to remember the time before the September that never ended, but I do remember a lot less spam and a lot less in the way of general email obnoxiousness when I got my first nonshared email account, just three years ago... and in light of that, the algal bloom analogy is more apt that I like.



Email Boom | 19 comments (17 topical, 2 editorial, 0 hidden)
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