Iraq: The insurgents will be quelled for the most part but there will be increased activity on the border of Iraq/Iran. The Kurds will call for a "Kurdistan".
Pressure for an Iraqi pullout will be at an all time high by summer, and despite many lingering threats, the bulk of coalition forces will be pulled from Iraq by September of 2005.
No, it will be high by the end of next year, with scheduled pullouts in 2006 and a handful of immediates before Christmas. There will also be a horrible death of a ranking official.
Osama bin Laden: His capture/death will not affect terrorism across the globe in any meaningful ways.
True, but it'll be proof of his death. By the end of the year we still won't know for certain how, but it'll be the talk of only conspiracy theorists, the US will take a stance that (as far as they know) a relative/close friend killed him and gave them the location of the remains.
Economy: Continued IT cuts except in the IT security sectors. Web application worms will grow in popularity. A remote exploit to crash Windows XP despite the firewall will be found, as will there be a highly talked-about destructive worm that destroys data.
Media: Just saying blogging will increase does not do it justice. Seven major stories will come from blogs this year, including a missing person's case where their blog will be drowned in senseless posting.
The FCC will hand out only two major fines this year.
Sports: Cubs will finally win. But no one will care, because the only thing mentioned in baseball news will be steroids. There will be a funny political cartoon to illustrate this.
Football will be dragged into the steroid scandal as well, and potentially will reveal even more widespread use of the drugs than baseball.
Wrong. Football will continue to grow in popularity. Basketball would have steroid problems far sooner than football.
Personally, I don't care about hockey
Specific Sports Predictions: I already said Cubs are going to win, how more specific do I have to get? (Note: I'm serious)
Technology/Teh Intarweb: IE share will drop to 70 percent. The media will exaggerate too many Firefox flaws for people to consider really switching. Windows 2000 will be phased out at most major corporations and universities.
Google's stock is not overrated.
No webcomic artist will have major claims to fame. PvPOnline will shut down.
2004 was the spyware year. 2005 will be the year of WebApplication attacks and worms. A utility to automate XSS scripting attacks for popular forum and community open-source software will be developed and released. Exploits in IE and Mozilla that allow simple browser crashing and URL spoofing will also be commonplace.
And now, just for fun and a little change of pace, a few long-term predictions for the next 10 years.
- Definitive proof that microscopic life once existed on Mars will be discovered,
2006 to be exact.
- Probably some new form of wireless technology that allows a person to access the Internet from anywhere on nearly any device, relatively free of equipment or location concerns.
Cigarette box-sized to be exact. First developed in 2005/2006, but doesn't actually get "discovered", at least by Slashdot, till 2007.
- Major advances in electrical engine technology has sales of electrical or hybrid vehicles far outpacing traditional gas powered vehicles.
No. The costs will still be too high for USians.
- Theories on world government
No. The US will drop most support for the UN and the only hope for the world will be the increasing membership of the Green and Libertarian parties, which will begin to have significant impacts on House and Senate races by 2008.