there are two parties in the us and there always will be, now and forever... however, they are not necessarily democrats and republicans, one or the other can fade away and be replaced
during the transition there will be 3 parties, but one will monopolize the conservative or liberal side of issues better than the other, and the third will quickly dissolve into history
this has happened before in the us: study the history of the whig party
if, for example, perot's legions succeeded in winning more votes than the republicans in 1992, you would have had a period of 3 political parties in the us
however, this is a temporary state, a voicing of conservative americans about their happiness with the republican party
over time, one of the two conservative parties would gain the upper hand, and momentum towarda an equilibrium where one party monopolizes the left and one monopolizes the right would bury the smaller third party into history
smaller third parties only gain voice and stand a chance at toppling one fo the major parties only when the one of the major parties fucks up and doesn't represent the conservative/ liberal voices of their constituents
roll your own example if nader had succeeded at wooing more democrats in 2000
so what is my point? the above excellent comments points to a mythological being: no, i'm not talking about lizards or aliens, the myth i am talking about is a poltical landscape in the us where parties don't exist and no one is disillusioned with politics
that's a constant truth... if you have a problem with that, then you have a problem with reailty, because that reality is never changing
if the lizard king is usurped, or the alien is dethroned, another will take his or her place, because those lizards and alines are created by us: human beings, in our own minds, in the way we think about our leaders, no matter how virtuous or evil they are
we get the government we deserve
fact: people organize around controversial and divisive ideological issues, so political parties are never going away
fact: at no time is it possible for EVERYONE to be content with the reigning ideology of their government, ever
therefore, the magical moment when everyone votes for nader instead of kerry, or everyone votes for perot instead of bush sr., as aluded to above, would not be a permanent sea change in politics, end of story, everyone lived happily ever after... instead it would be a simple changing of the guard, when malcontent and disillusionment due to bad ideological management on the parts of democrats or republicans doomed one or the other to the dustbin of history
and they go the way of the whig party
it is a statistically impossible event, as long as human beings are free-thinking persons and express a range of opinions that diverge from a median on a given issue, that we should be happy with our politcs. if you just happen to be very progressive in your politics, you simply feel the pain of your disillusionment of the policies of your government stronger than most. but that doens't mean you shouldn't vote or throw away your vote, it means you should be happy that you are the future, and that you can change people''s opinions, which changes political parties and governments, but you can never change political parties directly. so don't waste your vote, because your votew is never the weapon you should use in your good fight. use your vote instead as a proxy to make sure the people don't slide away from the future you represent, see?
opinion is a bell curve around which is organized the ideology of the political parties in a given country: the right, and the left, and a smattering of tiny hopeful parties that will never deliver nirvana on the edges- at best they can only create a changing of the guard, returning the political landscape to the way it was before as the third party must necessarily move from the edge to the center to consolidate it's new status as torch bearer of the right or left. different day, new names, but the ideology doesn't change, see?
hey, don't shoot the messenger, but here's the truth: if your ideology is far enough from the center of the bell curve of the range of opinions on a given issue: abortion, gay marriage, gun control, death penalty, etc... it doesn't matter how loud or vocal your minority, your opinion will never be expressed by your government, ever
a government expressed the will of the people. the will of the people is a statistical bell curve. your will will not be represented if it is on the edge. simple as that.
now of course, what you think i am missing here but i just haven't covered because i was making other points is this: the bell curve moves over time, the cneter shifts leftward or rightward
and that's what you should still agitate for your cause... for should you hate the war in iraq, or the war on drugs, or the war on common sense intellectual property law, please, don't stop the good fight
you can change human opinion, just forget the political parties: they are mindless machines, following the bell curve of popular opinion, not visa-versa. they fail when they don't represent the bell curve properly, they lose office when they drift from the center. that's all there is to it.
so lose your fixation with the mechanics of polotics, go back to your ideological roots and fight the good fight.
just don't throw away your vote. your thinking of your vote the wrong way. it is not the beginning and the end of your ideological voice. it is merely a proxy tool for you to use mindlessly to make sure the center doesn't slide leftward or rightward away from what you think is the rightful future.
there will always be nothing but lizards and aliens for our rulers. but that is because you choose to view them as such, because you are obessed with and believe you can snap your fingers and tomorrow the entire country will be in lockstep with every minutiae of your ideology. that will never happen. so you will always feel the pain of the distance between your opinions and the opinions of your leaders. more so if you are further out on the edge of the bell curve. that doesn't mean you should give up your fight, it just means you should stop obsessing on that pain.
The tigers of wrath are wiser than the horses of instruction.
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